Hello, my dear racing fans around the world!
This is a very special week for horse racing lovers. It is the Travers weekend, and some of the best racehorses in the country will hit the Saratoga racetrack to delight us with a fantastic show. We will witness five G1-Stakes on Saturday:
· Forego Stakes
· H. Allen Jerkens Stakes
· Ballerina Handicap
· Sword Dancer Stakes
· Travers Stakes
It is also a very special weekend for me because my new website is getting launched today! Here is the link to the best horse racing content for fans and bettors:
It is a new site by Homestretch PPA and Juan Oleaga with top quality content. This will increase the amount of content to be published in Homestretch PPA’s newsletter. Also, I have another big announcement: As part of the benefits to new subscribers, in the opening month everything will be for free!
I want to thank you guys, because if it wasn’t for you, this project would have never become a reality. I hope you enjoy this joint venture by two entrepreneurs fascinated about the sport. Let’s get ready for Travers Day!
So, as the spectacle begins and with no further delay, I am pleased to present to you the best winning formula for horse racing bettors in the U.S. I wish y’all the best of luck and a great Saturday afternoon at the Spa. I hope you spend a wonderful day with your loved ones sharing the passion for horse racing.
Welcome to Saratoga!
Race 1: Mdn 83K, 7 – furlongs
I believe there is a horse here who seems to be a step above the rest. It will be very difficult for these young colts to beat him. Considering all the horses with early speed, he is the right choice. However, there is room for someone coming from off the pace to catch this horse if the race is on to a suicidal fast pace. I am going to accompany Walstib with a colt who had an awful start in his debut and who could be the one coming from off the pace.
3)Secret Lover
Last time he was eliminated since the beginning. He broke bad and because of that, he was relegated to a position around twenty lengths off the leaders. Despite his catastrophic start, he managed to end up in fourth place, just seven lengths from this race’s favorite Walstib. I don’t love this horse, but he should have a much better performance in this race. With a good start and a powerful closing kick, the extra furlong could help him get there before the rest. Also, Trevor McCarthy is back for the revenge.
8)Walstib
He is the colt with the best pedigree for a racehorse in this field (family 1-c, inbred 5x4 to Mr. Prospector, 5x4 to Storm Bird, 5x5 to Fappiano, and 5x5 to Northern Dancer). He possesses an interesting degree of relatedness to Mr. Prospector’s bloodline. Considering the final time of his debut race, and the significant difference between the speed figures he obtained and those obtained by the rest of this colts, Walstib is the horse to beat. I am a little concerned about the pace because there are some colts here which are built for speed. For example, Catire Vizcaya is a horse who will surely get to the lead coming out from the gate. Juan Carlos Avila’s horses are trained to be fast; I know this firsthand. If you check Catire Vizcaya’s workouts, they are bullet time ones just as his trainer expect them to be. However, I don’t think he could stand being challenged by Walstib over a 7-furlongs race. Junior Alvarado must follow the pace setters and make his move around the far turn. I believe Walstib is the logical horse to bet on.
Picks: 8-3
Race 2: Alw 95K, 5 ½ – furlongs (turf)
I know these horses too well, and I assure you, this is a mediocre field despite the high purse. Be careful with this race, it is never a good idea to place high bets on mediocre horses. I am going to select four of them because I think all four have room to improve.
1)City Mischief
He should have won his last race. In the final furlong of the race the horse stumbled a couple of times and lost his momentum. In fact, Irad almost fell just yards away from the finish line. Unbelievable, City Mischief lost by just half a length. The horse had a very good performance despite the strange strides at the end. The field he was facing was similar to the one he is facing here. This puts him at the top of the list for this race. However, there are some new faces in this race that could make things even more difficult for him. Finally, been coupled with Image of Quality, the winning probabilities increase.
2)Ortus
We have Joel Rosario ridding for Christophe Clement in a turf race, that alone should be enough to make me include Ortus among my selections. In addition, this horse has faced some fields which I consider to be much better than this one. My only concern is the fact that he is coming out from a post next to the rail, he doesn’t have tactical speed, and this is a sprint race. However, if Rosario manages to have a nice trip, this horse will be deciding the race.
5)Kreesa
What about Johnny V. riding aboard this horse? This guy’s agent knows perfectly which mounts John should ride, and if he decided to get him back aboard Kreesa, is because he considers this horse to have a real chance against this group. This horse had a complicated trip in his last presentation competing against this field. The problem is that he needs to get involved in the race much sooner. If Johnny manages to get him close to the leaders since the beginning, he will be there at the wire.
10)Empire Sky
The horses he has competed against since March, who have ended up across the board, have all won one or several races after facing Empire Sky. For example, Ten Cent Town who defeated Empire Sky three races ago, won again a couple of weeks ago defeating Thunderian in a photo finish. Also, Henson, who finished third when Empire Sky finally broke his maiden, won last week and was my top selection for that race. So, what I’m saying is that Empire Sky is currently in great shape and has recently been competing against horses who are also going through a good moment. Finally, coming from post number ten, he will probably have a nice trip, and will be deciding the race.
Picks: 1-10-5-2
Race 3: Alw 50K, 1 1/8 – Mile, purse 70K
Even when this is a small field, this is not an easy race to predict. I don’t like this field at all. Some of these horses where highly expected and they didn’t make the grade, while others have proved to be very inconsistent and mediocre.
3)Money Supply
Originally, this horse was purchased by Klaravich Stables for 400K at the Keeneland September Sale. Money Supply was pointed to compete against much better fields. These are some of the names he has faced on the tracks: Creative Minister (2022 Triple Crown contender), Saint Tapit, and Osbourne. Chad Brown gave him some resting time between April and August, and then he pointed Money Supply to a claiming race, which he won, and after it, he was sold. Now, Money Supply is back in an allowance race, but this time against an accessible field. The final time of his past race is good enough to beat these guys, so he must be taken into account.
4)Mistical Curlin
He has been training nicely coming into this race. My perception about him totally changed when Mistical Curlin broke his maiden winning by nineteen lengths back in May. His speed rating and speed figures in the past three races have nothing to do with those he showed before. Additionally, he possesses tactical speed which is a nice advantage considering this field. He can get to an early lead and hold on to it to win this race wire-to-wire.
6)Watasha
I am intrigued by him being claimed by The Diamonds Farm. They must have seen something interesting in Watasha because this is not a normal move for the Farm. I am aware that this is a huge move up in class for him, and that he’s being stretched out to a route. However, he had a couple of top performances in his past couple of races, and he has been training well. Don’t leave him out.
Picks: 3-4-6
Race 4: OC 62.5K, 6 – furlongs, purse 156K
I like this field; these horses will put on a great show. It will be a fun race to watch. Remember, optional claiming races are won 71.2% of the time by a horse which is not for sale.
1)Scocciatore
After his last performance, he is the horse to beat. In fact, he defeated High Oak who is going to compete in the Forego later in the afternoon. I like that he is a tactical horse, he has speed, but he can adapt to any type of pace and different running styles. However, in order to have a successful performance, he must be involved in the race since the start. Scocciatore is coming out from post number one, and to avoid a complicated trip, he must use his speed to get to the lead as soon as possible. This might affect his stamina, and he could get flattened at the latter section of the race. That’s an important issue he will have to overcome to win this race.
3)Osbourne
This horse had a compromised trip in his past performance. He was among the favorites at the time and couldn’t deliver. I am not saying that he lost due to his bad trip, that would be an assumption over a hypothetical scenario which is impossible to prove. However, I do believe he would have ended up closer to the winner if he had a better trip. I think Irad knows this, and that’s why he is back for the challenge. I consider Osbourne to be a good horse, he should be there at the wire.
7)Milton the Monster
Many handicappers have been talking about this horse for quite some time. I do agree that he had some very nice performances against Jake Rocks and Dot’s Dollar. Against the latter, he turned wide and showed a powerful closing kick. In fact, he managed to beat Vittorio who was my top pick for that race and disappointed me. Milton the Monster is a dangerous horse, specially if the race is held on a fast pace. He could be the faster horse coming from off the pace.
10)Champions Dream
Why is Luis Saez aboard this colt when he just won aboard Scocciatore? Well, check the horses Champions Dream has faced: Tapit Trice, Blazing Sevens, Verifying, and Litigate. All of them are G-Stakes contenders to have competed in this year’s top-class races. Champions Dream is a G3 winner since he won the Nashua back in November. Okay, he is coming back to the tracks and, if he is full shape, he is a strong candidate against this field. Be careful with this horse.
Picks: 3-1-7-10
Race 5: OC 62.5K, 1 3/16 – Mile (turf), purse 156K
I am going to use a single for this race. There is an Irish colt here that should be way better than the American horses competing in this race.
6)Nobel
This horse is owned by a new team in the sport (founded in 2012). Qatar Racing is owned by the Sheik Fahad of Qatar and his brothers. They have horses all over the world, some of them top-class G-Stakes winners. Probably their most famous one here in the U.S, is the Breeder’s Cup Turf Sprint winner Caravel. So, this team invests in top racehorses, and they paid a huge amount of money to purchase this colt by Lope De Vega. The turf pedigree of Nobel is fantastic. This horse is coming out from a class two stakes in York (John Smiths Cup Handicap Stakes). Because of that, this is a huge drop in class for him. It is important to add that Nobel is in great shape after he arrived at the U.S, and he has been training nicely under the watchful eye from Brendan Walsh. This is a logical single considering the rest of this field.
Picks: 6
Race 6: Mdn 136.5K, 6 – furlongs
Wow! This is a supremely difficult race to predict. Not only is it hard to handicap a two-year-old fillies’ race in August when they are still extremely green, but also this field is very even. These fillies have potential, but they don’t know how to run yet. This is probably the most difficult race of the day.
2)Colonial Rose
She has the advantage of having already competed. In addition, the final time of her debut race was good considering they are two-year-old fillies. Colonial Rose showed some speed, and that is good when you don’t know how to overcome rivals. I think she had a nice performance last time, and she should improve now that she is running her second career race.
6)Cowgirl Charm
I consider her to have one of the best pedigrees of the field. She is a member of the family 17-b. Also, she is an inbred 3x5 to Mr. Prospector, and 5x5 to Northern Dancer. In addition, all her siblings to have raced became winners. So, she is part of a winning family. Furthermore, the Cheyenne team has great numbers and owned some G-Stakes winners. Cowgirl Charm is a green filly with much to learn, but trained by Todd Pletcher and having a Hall od Fame rider like John Velazquez aboard, she must be included among every handicapper’s picks.
7)Willowy
Even when she is the outsider for this race, this long shot has some interesting features to be considered for this race. Yes, I am aware that Wayne Catalano doesn’t have good numbers when debuting. However, this filly has an eye-catching pedigree. She is an inbred 3x5 to Halo, 4x5x5 to Northern Dancer, and 4x3 to Mr. Prospector. That’s an intriguing combination of genes. Also, by having those stallions so close in her five useful pedigree generations, she is very close related to the champions. Finally, she is a member of the family 9-f, and that’s a family that has produced some nice horses recently, like the 2019 Kentucky Derby winner Country House. Interesting 15/1 filly.
9)Just F Y I
A daughter of Justify and Krikorian’s homebred. It is a good sign that George not only bred this filly, but he also decided to keep her for his racing team. Considering her dam, I thought she was a turf horse, and I am a little surprised to watch her debuting on the dirt. I don’t love Bill Mott’s numbers when debuting, but she has been training nicely and possesses enough breezes to be comfortable over the track.
Picks: 2-6-9-7
Race 7: Forego Stakes G1, 7 – furlongs, purse 500K.
I love this race; each year is a delightful new show. For those of you who don’t remember, last year this race marked the end of Jackie’s Warrior era and the beginning of Cody’s Wish beautiful story when he defeated the top sprinter. Now it is Elite Power’s time. Another fantastic horse who also defeated Jackie’s Warrior in the Breeder’s Cup Sprint. Those races where the last by Asmussen’s champion sprinter. Today, Elite Power is undoubtedly one of the best dirt horses in the world, but he will have to overcome the so called “Graveyard of Champions”.
3)Elite Power
I think we all agree that his only real rival in this field is Gunite. That horse is always a hard nut to crack. However, after watching how Elite Power defeated him in the Vanderbilt over 6 – furlongs and a sloppy track, I don’t think Gunite can contain him over 7 – furlongs. He will just come “motoring like a big chestnut tank” as Frank Mirahmadi said. Here is the replay of the Alfred. G Vanderbilt for you to draw your own conclusions.
For me, the small field, and the extra furlong makes it impossible for Asmussen’s trainee. Let’s go Elite Power!
Picks: 3
Race 8: Alw 149.5K, 5 1/2 – furlongs (turf)
I am going to use four horses for this race. It is a big field competing over a short distance which means that every detail counts. A minor setback and you lost your chances.
5)Harry Time
I remember when this horse arrived in the U.S. I selected him as Far Bridge’s toughest rival some time ago, and even far back when he had just arrived. Check what I said before he faced Far Bridge:
I selected Harry Time among my picks when he was going to run in the US for the first time back in January when he lost to Ok Boomer.
This colt has been competing against top-class thoroughbreds like The Platinum Queen and Persian Force. To put you into context, The Platinum Queen competed against the colts in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint, where Persian Force was also among the contenders. Now you have an idea of how talented this young horse is. I think Harry Time is a real threat for this race’s favorites.
Ok Boomer ended up winning that race, and last week he finished fourth in the Colonel Liam Stakes. So, Harry Time faced some powerful contenders in his reappearance race here at the US. Now, better prepared, and running over a longer distance, this colt will improve. If he is back in full shape, he is a hard nut to crack for these colts.
If I selected him among my picks even when I considered Far Bridge as one of the best turf horses in the country, he should definitely be my first selection for this race. Most likely he will offer a huge price.
6)Highly Flammable
Another horse which I have been following. A couple of races ago I selected him among my picks:
This horse might be the most logical selection according to his past performances. He has won two times out of five races (one of those competing in a 123K maiden race). Last time he had a very compromised trip that could have costed him the victory, this should be a different scenario. Castellano is back aboard to have his revenge. I believe that he should perform much better now that he is better adapted to the surface and coming out from a post to the outside. Mark Casse has a high winning probability since he is presenting two horses with plenty of chance. As I said, everything depends on the races being carried out on the turf.
In that race he faced a better field. For example, My Sea Cottage who finished second in that race, won just after, and then entered the Fourstardave Handicap against Casa Creed and Annapolis. What I am trying to say is that Highly Flammable is currently in great shape and this is kind of a class relief for him. He should be considered as the horse to beat.
9)Immortalization
Well, he is coming back to the tracks after almost a year. However, he is having some extremely good workouts. It is crazy how fast his breezes are. I don’t know what to expect, but I cannot leave out a horse with such workouts and who has won three races out of ten presentations, specially if he is offering a 15/1 payout.
12)Southern Horse
This horse was shipped to east coast back in May and he has been training nicely since then at the New York tracks. Southern Horse had a very good performance in his last race, and before that, he was going through a very good moment in his racing career, he won three races out of four. However, even when Irad Ortiz is the jockey of the moment and possesses an amazing winning percentage when ridding for Jacobson, I believe that Southern Horse shouldn’t be considered as the race’s favorite as the morning line suggests. Yes, I am not going to lose my tickets to Irad aboard a top favorite, but in my opinion, he is not the best choice.
Picks: 5-6-9-12
Race 9: H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes G1, 7 – furlongs, purse 500K
There is a horse here that is currently flying over the tracks. He is one of my top selections for the day because the field he is facing is a tough one, which means he will offer a fair price. I think betting on him is a good idea.
6)Arabian Lion
You know, everybody talks about Arabian Night, but what about his stablemate, the other Arabian? Well, unlike Arabian Knight this colt is currently in his best shape ever. As any horse presented by Baffert, Arabian Lion is a very muscular horse with the physiognomy of a sprinter. That’s exactly what explains his success over sprint distances. In Juan Oleaga’s words “He is a gem”.
Clearly, it is going to be a very fast race, but despite the early speed these horses have, this race secret is not how fast you can start but how fast can you end. New York Thunder, Drew’s Gold, One in Vermillion, etc. They all have tactical speed, but the problem with a 7 – furlongs race is that you must be fast all the time. In routes you might start with a soft pace in the beginning to gain stamina, and in a 5 – furlongs race you must be extremely fast coming out from the gate because the race is just too short. But in a 7 – furlongs contest, things get complicated.
I don’t see New York Thunder maintaining that amazing speed he has showed over 7 – furlongs because this time he will be challenged since the beginning. However, I do think Arabian Lion could be waiting behind the pace setters to make his move at the head of the home stretch. He has showed the best pace at the latter section of the race considering the entire field. Also, John Velazquez is a very smart rider, he will wait for the exact time to make his move. Check out his performance in the Woody Stephens Stakes, he did exactly what I believe he will do this time:
This horse is training extremely well, I believe he is the right candidate for this race.
Picks: 6
Race 10: Ballerina H. G1, 7 - furlongs, purse 500K
You know, I believe this race will be the most beautiful one of the day because we will witness the five-year-old queen, being challenged by the four-year-old princess. Both champions have the same record, they have won eight races out of ten. Amazingly they were one-two in the Breeders’ Cup, and both are currently flying over the track. This will be a fantastic and fun race to remember.
6)Echo Zulu
Asmussen’s spoiled girl. She is an amazing racehorse. I have information about her that suggests she is going through the best moment in her racing career (as if she had a bad one). Turning four has made her a more powerful runner, perfectly adapted to running over short distances. Now she is the perfect sprinter. Let’s see her last victory in The Honorable Miss:
Wow! She was impressive. However, she will have to maintain that amazing pace to defeat Goodnight Olive over 7 – furlongs.
7)Goodnight Olive
We all remember what happened in the Derby City Distaff when Tyler Gaffalione blocked Goodnight Olive and kept her boxed next to the rail. After that, Irad understood that he couldn’t stumble over the same rock again. Even when Goodnight Olive was unfavored by the draw for the Bed of Roses Stakes, Irad decided to change his strategy a little bit. He chose to be patient and wait for the right time to make his move, allowing Goodnight Olive to run in a comfortable position at the back of the small field. That move allowed him to avoid getting in trouble and he managed to catch Caramel Swirl right in the money. Here is the replay of the Bed of Roses:
Okay, that strategy won’t work if the horse to catch is Echo Zulu. Goodnight Olive must get involved in the race much sooner. However, this time she will not have to deal with a compromised post position because she is coming out from post seven. By having some room, she can be positioned much closer to the leader, who will probably be Echo Zulu. This will allow her to catch Asmussen’s trainee in the homestretch. If both have good trips, I believe we will witness the best edition of the Ballerina.
I don’t think any of the others will have a real chance against these ladies. Caramel Swirl had a perfect trip in the Bed of Roses and still couldn’t beat Goodnight Olive. Wicked Halo has never been up to the challenge, Matareya and Maryquitecontrary are coming out from a bad performance, and Dr. B will have to improve a ton to beat the champs. I would be very surprised if someone else wins this race.
Picks: 7-6
Race 11: Sword Dancer Stakes G1, 1 ½ – Mile (turf), purse 750K
This is a great purse for this not-so-great field. I believe the American racing industry needs to focus on potentiate turf races. Something must be done with the poor conditions of the tracks, so we don’t have to be off the turf every weekend, and there should be some incentives to increase the quality of the contenders. That’s why last year Modern Games, Nations Pride, Rebel’s Romance, Meditate, etc. destroyed the American horses when they competed in U.S soil. Now I am thinking: should Bolshoi Ballet and Stone Age be considered as a one-two selection against these American horses?
1)Soldier Rising
He was very much affected by what happened to Rebel’s Romance in the Bowling Green Stakes. Unfortunately, Soldier Rising got eliminated from the race when he had to dodge Richard Mullins after he fell from Charles Appleby’s presented. I do believe that Soldier Rising is one of the best turf horses of his generation who’s still competing. He is a very successful horse by Frankel. I think he might get benefited by a faster pace than the one of the Bowling Green. I am sure that Verstappen will challenge Channel Maker for the lead. Also, Bolshoi Ballet will get involved in the race since the start, this horse is a pacemaker and was used as a rabbit by Aidan O’Brien in the King George Stakes at Ascot. So, we will have some early speed, and this is perfect for Soldier Rising to have a successful performance.
3)Bolshoi Ballet
This horse is having a significant class relief competing against this field. Yes, he had a bad performance in his last presentation before being shipped to the U.S, but as I said, he was being used as a rabbit to force a fast pace, and it was the King George Stakes. When Bolshoi Ballet competed in the country back in 2021, he won the Belmont Derby, and competed in the Breeders’ Cup. Considering the frontrunners (Channel Maker and Verstappen), I believe Bolshoi Ballet is the best of them.
5)Pioneering Spirit
He is the new face in this category. Pioneering Spirit has won four races in a row and that’s always something to consider. I don’t love this horse, but he has performed like a champion since he switched surfaces. Also, to be ridden by Irad Ortiz is a guaranty of having a good performance.
7)Stone Age
I don’t like the price he is offering; I consider it too low. Yes, he is a group one turf horse, but he hasn’t won a race in more than a year. In addition, he is coming back after spending six months off the tracks. The best performance of his racing career was in the Breeders’ Cup Turf where he was caught by Rebel’s Romance just yards before the wire. That was ten months ago. I do agree that he is one of the top contenders for this race, but if he becomes an odds-on favorite, betting on him is not a good idea.
Picks: 3-1-7-5
Race 12: Travers Stakes G1, 1 ¼ – Mile, purse 1,250K
Finally, the race we all came to see! It’s show time. I think we have all been questioning Forte for one thing or another. Because he should have been disqualified in the Jim Dandy, or maybe because he doesn’t perform well when running next to another horse. Some say he should stop dancing and prancing because that’s what gets him tired, others think he is a lazy horse and that’s why he needs to use cheaters, etc.
Well, this is the moment of truth. I am sure it will be tough for Forte; he has some top-class contenders like Mage, National Treasure and Arcangelo (all of them won one stage of the Triple Crown). However, for all of those who are always looking for a better three-year-old, I must tell you that Forte is the best colt of his generation, he is currently in great shape, he will dance in the paddock, and he will be there at the wire. I consider National Treasure to be his toughest rival, he is the only horse with early speed, and he could set a comfortable pace to win the Travers wire-to-wire.
1)Forte
This is not a good post position for him. However, Irad has two options, and both depend on Arcangelo’s break. If Arcangelo have a good start and gets close to the leaders since the beginning, which I believe is the most probable option, Forte just need to stay behind him and look for room to the outside. He can do that because Tapit Trice and Mage, who will break from posts three and four are slow starters, so he will find the perfect hole to get into a more comfortable position. On the other hand, if Arcangelo doesn’t have a good start, Forte can make his move early in the race to get out of the rail, there will be plenty of room with all the next three horses behind him. So, I believe Irad will try to have a perfect break so he can decide faster than the rest.
What I like about Forte is his ability to adapt to any type of pace. He doesn’t need a rabbit, and he can get close to the lead when needed. I saw him schooling in the paddock and I believe he is ready for a big race. Here he is:
https://twitter.com/repolestable/status/1694835251615277467?s=48
I am going to use Forte as a single, if you are thinking of a horse to beat him, I believe National Treasure and Tapit Trice are his toughest rivals. Remember that Flavien Prat will be riding Tapit Trice since Luis Saez is injured.
Picks: 1
Race 13: Mdn 136.5K, 1 – Mile (inner turf)
This is a good race to end the day with. Not an easy one, but at least is a decent field. Let’s finish the day picking some winners.
1)Right to Win
When I saw his performance against Northern Invader, I thought “this horse is just not good enough”. But after investigating a little more, I found out that Prat already suggested to put on blinkers so the horse can be shaper before Right to Win’s last race. Considering that jockeys know their horses very well (they are out there trying to get the best out of them), I believe that this new equipment could be a game changer for this horse. Right to Win has competed against very good horses. In fact, Mondego (who he faced back in May) has entered the Belmont Derby and the Saratoga Derby, both stages of the American Turf Triple Crown. So, even when Growth Capital seems like the best of the Klaravich colts for this race, Right to Win is also a strong candidate. Lucky for us, they are coupled.
1A) Growth Capital
Between him and Right to Win, this horse has the tactical speed advantage, and much better speed figures. However, he is coming back after spending almost a year off the tracks. Even though, I don’t think that will be much of a problem because he has been training nicely next to Right to Win, and they have the exact same exercises since the beginning of the month. The hot combo of Klaravich-Brown-Irad wins one race out of three, imagine if they add a second horse to the equation. I believe number one will be an odds-on favorite because of their high winning probability.
2)Fly Right
We shouldn’t take his last race into account because it was taken off the turf, and the horse just didn’t show up. He was among the favorites but had an odd performance. If you check out his other presentations, he is quite good, and the times of his past performances are fast enough to be deciding the race. Be careful with this horse.
3)Conversing
This is a nice colt from family 1-l. He possesses a top-class pedigree and a very good one for the surface. I am aware that he is coming back to the tracks, but I am more interested in his past performances. Check the names he has faced: Rarified Flair and Dubyuhnell. Those horses are both Stakes winners (the Rushaway and the Remsen respectively), and Dubyuhnell even faced Forte in the Florida Derby. So, we are talking about two good racehorses. Conversing was a runner-up both times, so he should be considered as a nice horse too. He has proved to have stamina, as the pedigree suggests. Also, he will run with Lasix medication for the first time, and John Velazquez is back aboard. This is not a horse you should overlook.
11)Baie Longue
Be careful with this colt, he had an excellent workout ten days ago. In addition, this will be his second time using Lasix and Bill Mott’s winning percentage is high when using the medication for the second time. Baie Longue had a good comeback race, and he seems to be back to a 100%. Don’t lose your tickets to a hot trainer-jockey combo like the one of Mott and Alvarado.